Traffic and Revenue Studies for Toll Facilities - Selected Projects

Investment Grade Study for the SH 121 Toll Road Concession in Texas.

C&M prepared a comprehensice T&R forecast for the SH 121 Toll Road to support Skanska ID, Deutsche Bank (DB) and 3i in their January 2007 50 year concession bid to TxDOT. This Greenfield project located in the rapid growing counties of Denton and Collin, Texas is 24.5 miles long and includes 6 controlled-access tolled lanes, 6 frontage roads, and major interchanges at IH 35, DNT, and US 75. It will relief congestion in Denton and Collin counties and facilitate access from the northeast to the Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport, and will substantially reduce travel times in the area. This an Open Road Tolling (ORT) project with electronic toll collection and video tolling technology making the use of cash payments unnecessary.

 

 

 

South Padre Island Second Causeway Toll Feasibility Study

The Texas Department of Transportation commissioned C&M to develop preliminary traffic and toll revenue estimates for two proposed alternative alignments of a second causeway connecting South Padre Island to the mainland. C&M’s forecast will assist TxDOT in funding and planning decisions for this toll project. South Padre Island is located in the Gulf of Mexico (Cameron County), east of Harlingen and northeast of Brownsville. Current access to South Padre Island is provided by the non-tolled Queen Isabella Causeway (SH 100).

 

 

 

 

I-495 HOT Lanes Traffic and Revenue Review

C&M was commissioned by the Virginia Department of Transportation (VDOT) to provide assistance for the with the review of the I-495 High Occupancy Tolled (HOT) lanes Traffic and Revenue Forecast presented by the private development consortium formed by Fluor and Transurban. C&M assessed the reasonableness of the forecast assumptions and methodology that is serving as base for the negotiation between the parties. The HOT lanes project is located on the Virginia Section of the I-495 Capital Beltway around Washington, D.C. It consists of 14 miles with 7 entry/exit points and 5 intermediate entry/exit points plus 2 direct HOV to HOV access at the Dulles Access Road and I-66.

 

 

 

 

Investment Grade T&R Study For the Circuito Exterior Mexiquense Concession in Mexico City

C&M was retained by OHL Concesiones to produce a feasibility study for a startup toll road serving the Northeastern part of Mexico City’s 20 million inhabitant metropolitan area. The new road will communicate the México-Querétaro, México-Pachuca and México-Puebla highways as well as the limits with the state of Morelos without need to enter México City.

Study statistics:

  • 140,000 daily trips to and from the Mexico City Metropolitan area
  • 43,000 origin-destiny surveys
  • 5,000+ stated preference surveys
  • 156 miles studied for speed and time
  • 187 miles of existing road network analyzed
  • 10 automatic volume and direction traffic stations
  • 3 manual volume and direction traffic stations
  • 192 internal zones mapped
  • 32 external zones mapped

Models created for automobiles, 2-3 axle trucks, 5-6 axel trucks and 7 axel trucks.
Forecasted traffic and revenue and recommended pricing for each vehicle type.

SL 480 (Eagle Pass Outer Loop) toll feasibility study, Eagle Pass, Texas

C&M conducted a toll feasibility analysis, including review of cost estimates, tolling plans, refined toll traffic analysis, toll operations strategies and associated support services. The objective of the study is to review the traffic forecasts and revenue estimates in light of influences from Mexico and traffic crossing the Eagle Pass–Piedras Negras International Bridge.

West Loop Project toll feasibility study, Brownsville, Texas

C&M conducted a toll feasibility analysis with the objective of refining and evaluating the most promising strategies, tolling concepts and toll collection methods for the West Loop project considering production, financial and revenue constraints and to evaluate the economic value of the project and its bonding capacity.

Investment Grade Traffic and Revenue Study for the Tecate-Tijuana toll road

C&M conducted an investment grade study for financing purposes for the Tecate- Tijuana toll road. The study provided a reliable forecast of traffic flow and revenue for the facility, based on projections developed from historical traffic, users’ behavior, and socioeconomic conditions in the area. Other study objectives included the estimate of the impact on traffic and revenue due to the construction of two new loops located at the Tecate and La Esperanza junctions and the impact traffic and revenue due to the construction of the Tijuana – Rosarito 2000 corridor.

C&M Staff Investment Grade Traffic and Revenue Studies

Project

Client

Rating Agency

Rating

Amount (million USD)

SH 121 Toll Road, Texas

Skanksa ID, Deutsche Bank, 3i

Moody's

NA

NA

Circuito Exterior Mexiquense

OHL

BBVA Syndicated Loan

 

$200

System of nine highways in the State of Chihuahua

Chihuahua State Government

S&P, Fitch

MXAA, AAA(mex)

$250

Fresnillo and La Calera Loop's

Interacciones Banca Múltiple

S&P, Fitch

MXAA, AA(mex)

$42

Mexico-Queretaro

Banco Santander

Loan by Banco Nacional de Obras Públicas (Banobras)

$2,500

Mexico-Puebla

Banco Santander

Queretaro-Irapuato

Banco Santander

San Luis Potosí Eastern Loop

META

S&P

MXAA+

$13

Tijuana-Tecate

ATM

S&P, Fitch

MXAA

$60

Chamapa-La Venta y Ramal Interlomas

Grupo Tribasa

Fitch

AA(mex)

$120

Ecatepec-Pirámides

Grupo Tribasa

S&P, Fitch, MBIA Insurance

AAA, AAA(mex);
AAA, AAA(mex)

$200

Armería-Manzanillo

Grupo Tribasa

S&P, Fitch, MBIA Insurance

AAA, AAA(mex);
AAA, AAA(mex)

México-Toluca

Grupo Tribasa

Fitch, MBIA Insurance

AAA (mex)

$360

Kantunil-Cancún

Multivalores

Fitch, Moody's

Serie "A" AA(mex)
Serie "B" A(mex)
Serie "S" B(mex)

$25

Cardel- Veracruz

BBVA-Bancomer

S&P, Fitch

AA+(mex)

$70

Acapulco Tunnel

Tuneles Concesionados de Acapulco S.A. de C.V. (TUCA)

S&P, Fitch

MXAA, AA(mex)

$18

Monterrey-Cadereyta

Autopistas de Nuevo León

S&P, Fitch, Moody's, MBIA Insurance

mxAAA, AAA, Aaa.mx

$220

Peñon-Texcoco

Grupo Tribasa

Fitch

AA(mex)

$168

Libramiento Plan del Rio

CPM

NA

NA

$45

Puebla- Atlixco

Carreteras de Cuota Puebla

S&P, Fitch

mxAAA, AAA

$50